Tradesports update, Oct 29: 36.3%
The latest Tradesports figures indicate a hold at about the same probabality as last time:
36.3%
As always, this means the chances that the GOP will retain control of the House of Representatives are 36.3%.
Interestingly, they are now offering bets on the number of seats to be gained by the Democrats. For example, will the Dems. win over 15 seats? Closing price: 67% (the market says there is a 67% chance they will gain 15 seats or more; the number required to achieve control of the House).
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