Ubikcan

Ubikcan is dead! Long live ubikcan ( at its new location )

Today is Veterans Day in America and Remembrance Day in Europe. Poppies are used to symbolize the fields of France and the trench warfare of...

The map above (from the Washington Post by Nate Kelso, NACIS member) shows how Virginians voted in the Senate election on Tuesday. The CW o...

So we used a few numbers from Tradesports before the election to get a feel for how the "market" was assessing outcomes (eg see he...

George Allen is having a press conference in about 3.5 hours-- is he anouncing his concession? AP, NBC and a number of other places have alr...

Well, in short, yesterday's predictions did come to pass and I didn't need to cry into my beer. On the contrary, a good time was had...

Off to the appropriately named Thinking Man Tavern (affectionately known as the "Drinking Man") for election results! They're ...

Problems with voting are being reported in realtime on this map (the site is rather slow, I had to reload several times). Ohio (!) is leadi...

Today is election day: please vote! Here's a little Youtube video to get things going.

OK, here are the ubikcan predictions for tomorrow's midterm elections. I don't have any special data or insights so of course this i...

Well the smart money estimate that GOP chances of retaining the House of Reps. tomorrow is: 20.5% There are also some new betting opportunit...

I downloaded the new districts from here and made a quick GIS map of how the district shifted. sorry about the map quality, ArcMap is hard t...

As anonymous notes in the comments below, the Georgia redistricting is already in effect. The map I presented of GA-08 is therefore the one ...

As they used to say on the Drew Carey show. Remember when Ohio was the swing state in the last election? And finally went to Bush by119,000...

CW is that GA-08 is the GOP best chance of a House pickup. GA-08 was redistricted in mid-decade (it's usual to only redistrict following...